Policy Snapshot

Giving citizens a direct ownership stakes in AI infrastructure via equity stakes

Scenario

Gradual
Augmentation

All Scenarios

Rapid
Automation

Scope

Near Term
(Volatility Risks)

Medium Term
(Transition Risks)

Long Term
(Structural Risks)

Governance Level

Local

National

International

Target

Entrepreneurs

Displaced Workers

Primary Actor

Governments

Private Actors

/

Regulation & Market Design

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Competition & Corporate Governance

Antitrust Law

Modernized competition enforcement to prevent dominant firms from leveraging control over essential AI infrastructure to stifle competition and capture outsized economic value.

What it is:

Antitrust enforcement in AI seeks to prevent control over the physical and digital infrastructure required to build frontier models by powerful established market players. Beyond traditional price-fixing concerns, regulators focus on vertical integration where cloud giants own the chips, data centers, and application layers, potentially locking out competitors. Other key issues include "acqui-hires" (hiring a startup's core team to avoid merger scrutiny), exclusive cloud partnerships that restrict model availability, and technical lock-ins like high data egress fees. The goal is to ensure that the AI stack remains modular and open, preventing a scenario where a few incumbents act as gatekeepers for the entire economy's infrastructure.

Recommended Reading:
Ramin Toloui

January 2025

Toloui advocates for a "guardrails and triggers" approach to modernizing  antitrust tools and pro-competition policy for AI markets. This would involve establishing foundational pro-competition rules now while preparing escalating interventions if market concentration worsens. His immediate "guardrails" focus on lowering switching costs through mandated API interoperability, data portability rights, and bans on exclusivity agreements that prevent customers from using multiple AI providers. Should these measures fail to prevent monopolistic bottlenecks, Toloui outlines "triggers" for more aggressive interventions, such as enforcing cloud non-discrimination rules to target egress fees and self-preferencing by vertically integrated tech giants.

OECD Competition Committee

November 2025

In its report, the OECD identifies high concentration and barriers to entry across the AI stack as having important implications for competition. It argues merger control may need to be flexible enough to capture acquisitions of nascent competitors and notes that market power can expand through acqui-hires and strategic partnerships that fall below notification thresholds. The OECD also urges agencies to scrutinize cross-layer partnerships (e.g., between cloud providers and model developers) to ensure they are not used to foreclose rivals or distort competition.

European Commission

December 2025

The EU has established a "High-Level Group" under the Digital Markets Act (DMA) specifically to map the "regulatory interplay" between the AI Act and competition law. They released a joint paper in late 2025 endorsing cross-regulatory cooperation to prevent gatekeepers from using AI to circumvent DMA obligations.

Daron Acemoglu, David Autor, and Simon Johnson

Building Pro-Worker Artificial Intelligence

February 2026

Acemoglu, Autor, and Johnson argue that the concentration of power among a handful of dominant AI firms propagates pro-automation business models across the entire technology ecosystem. Start-ups gravitate toward technologies they can sell to large incumbents or that position them as acquisition targets, and when dominant firms derive profits primarily from automation and data monetization, this dynamic discourages development of pro-worker alternatives. They propose that stricter merger scrutiny and action against predatory pricing could create space for new business models more conducive to human-AI collaboration.

Real-world precedents:
  • The DOJ vs. Google ruling established that exclusive distribution deals violate antitrust law, specifically finding that Google maintained an illegal search monopoly by paying billions to companies like Apple and Samsung to make its search engine the default on their devices.

  • In the 1990s, United States v. Microsoft forced the unbundling of the Microsoft’s Internet Explorer browser from the Windows operating system, as the court found Microsoft had deliberately sought to protect its operating system monopoly from the threat posed by cross-platform middleware like Netscape.

Securing humanity's AI future

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