Participants

1023

Age Groups

18-25

292

26-35

412

36-45

196

46-55

98

55-65

34

65+

9

Gender

Male

292

Female

412

Non-binary

196

65+

9

Countries

64

India

190

Kenya

125

United States

80

China

65

United Kingdom

48

Canada

44

Indonesia

35

Brazil

31

Chile

29

Vietnam

23

Israel

23

Egypt

22

Pakistan

20

South Korea

17

Italy

17

Germany

17

Mexico

16

Philippines

15

Japan

15

Kazakhstan 20

14

France

14

Spain

12

Romania

11

Bangladesh

11

Australia

11

Türkiye

9

Russian Federation

9

Argentina

9

South Africa

8

Morocco

8

Poland

6

Malaysia

6

Malawi

6

Saudi Arabia

5

United Arab Emirates

4

Ireland (Republic)

4

Belgium

4

Ukraine

3

Switzerland

3

Austria 40

3

Algeria

3

Singapore

2

Portugal

2

Norway

2

Netherlands

2

Greece

2

Finland

2

Croatia

2

Syria

1

Sweden

1

Slovakia

1

Saint Vincent & the Grenadines

1

New Zealand

1

Luxembourg

1

Hungary

1

Ghana

1

Denmark

1

Czech Republic

1

Cuba

1

Armenia

1

Angola

1

Andorra

1

Your economic situation shapes your AI attitudes

Overall, respondents rate the quality of life improvement over the past 50 years at 3.63 out of 5, and their expectations for the next 50 years at 3.67 (Charts 6, 7). Each step up the income ladder corresponds to roughly 0.3 points more optimism on both past and future assessments, from 3.00/3.16 for struggling respondents to 3.97/3.90 for comfortable ones.

The optimism gap: looking back vs looking forward

Mean scores on 5-point scale (1=pessimistic, 5=optimistic) — by household economic situation

Overall

1,041

Struggling

45

Stretched

226

Getting by

474

Comfortable

296

1

2

3

4

5

Very Pessimistic

Very Optimistic

Quality of life compared to 50 years ago

Expectations of quality of life 50 years from now

At the regional level, Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia are the only regions where future expectations significantly exceed assessments of past progress (4.39 vs 3.97, and 4.02 vs 3.71 respectively). Western Europe, East Asia and Oceania tilt the other way. 

The starkest difference is Eastern Europe, where respondents give the past 50 years the highest score of any region (4.06) but rate the next 50 years among the lowest (3.22). People in these countries have experienced transformative improvement since the end of the Cold War but appear sceptical that the coming decades will deliver anything comparable.

Regional Attitudes Towards Progress

Regional sentiment comparing "Life is better than 50 years ago" (Past) vs. "Life will be better in 50 years" (Future)

Overall

1,041

Western Europe

139

Sub-Saharan Africa

144

South Asia

227

Southeast Asia

82

Middle East & N. Africa

80

Eastern Europe

53

East Asia

104

Latin America

89

North America

136

Oceania

13

1

2

3

4

5

Very Pessimistic

Very Optimistic

Quality of life compared to 50 years ago

Expectations of quality of life 50 years from now

People's existing material circumstances consistently shape how they see AI's future. Financially comfortable respondents are far more likely to believe AI benefits will reach them personally, at 59%, compared to 40% among those who are struggling (Chart 13). The gradient is steady across all four income groups, suggesting this is not simply an optimism gap between the very rich and very poor.

Will AI's economic benefits reach you?

Expectations by household income level

Overall

1,035

24%

24%

52%

Struggling

45

29%

31%

40%

Stretched

226

28%

24%

49%

Getting by

474

25%

25%

50%

Comfortable

296

20%

21%

59%

Unlikely

Neutral

Likely

Wealthier regions show a similar pattern in how they'd prefer to benefit from AI-driven productivity gains. Western European respondents prefer less work over more money by a 56-33% margin, while South Asian and Sub-Saharan African respondents tilt heavily toward more money (62% and 61% respectively; Chart 12). Globally the split is close to even (41% vs 48%), but the regional variation is wide. This likely reflects basic material priorities; where incomes are lower and public services thinner, the abstract appeal of leisure gives way to the concrete need for higher earnings.

Would you rather work less or earn more?

If AI made you more productive, how would you prefer to benefit? — by region

Overall

1,036

21%

20%

11%

28%

20%

Western Europe

139

28%

29%

11%

18%

15%

Sub-Saharan Africa

144

19%

13%

7%

27%

34%

South Asia

227

14%

15%

9%

39%

23%

Southeast Asia

82

20%

18%

5%

35%

22%

Middle East & N. Africa

80

11%

33%

11%

28%

17%

Eastern Europe

53

25%

16%

6%

31%

22%

East Asia

104

24%

21%

19%

27%

9%

Latin America

89

25%

20%

10%

25%

20%

18%

North America

136

24%

19%

19%

19%

19%

Oceania

13

31%

31%

23%

8%

8%

Strongly prefer less work

Somewhat prefer less work

No preference

Somewhat prefer more money

Strongly prefer more money

Survey participants were presented with two visions of a future where AI handles most tasks. In World A, the "Guaranteed Jobs Society," human roles are maintained in areas like teaching, caregiving and skilled craftsmanship, with everyone guaranteed a job under shorter hours and better conditions. In World B, the "Guaranteed Income Society," jobs are no longer central to life. Everyone receives a guaranteed income and people are free to study, create, volunteer or spend time with family, with social recognition tied to community contribution rather than employment. Overall, more people want guaranteed jobs (52%) than guaranteed income (39%), with 9% expressing no preference (Chart 20).

Two visions of a post-work future

Which world would you rather live in? (n=1,024)

Guaranteed Jobs Society

Work stays central. Government guarantee jobs for all.

Guaranteed Income Society

AI does most work. Everyone receives enough to live well.

31%

21%

9%

20%

19%

Strongly:
Guaranteed Jobs

Somewhat:
Guaranteed Jobs

No
preference

Somewhat:
Guaranteed Income

Strongly:
Guaranteed Income

The guaranteed jobs vs. guaranteed income question (Chart 21b) also reveals how much current employment shapes preferences about the future. Among those with good jobs, 56% prefer World A and only 36% choose World B (Chart 21b). Those without good jobs flip, with 51% preferring World B and 40% choosing World A. The middle group, those only somewhat satisfied, stays close to the good-job group at 54%. This suggests the preference shift toward guaranteed income is concentrated among people who are genuinely dissatisfied with their work, rather than those who are merely ambivalent.

The less satisfied you are with your job, the more you want guaranteed income

Two Worlds preference by current job satisfaction

Yes, my job is a "good" job

272

56%

8%

36%

Somewhat, my job is okay

449

53%

9%

38%

No, my job is not a "good" job

146

40%

9%

51%

Guaranteed Jobs Society

No preference

Guaranteed Income Society

Pessimists about their family's future are more likely to frame wealth-sharing as compensation for job displacement (43%) than optimists are (29%). Optimists lean instead toward the idea that AI is built on shared knowledge and its benefits should therefore be shared (50% vs 37% among pessimists; Chart 43f). The reasoning people reach for reflects the future they expect, with those who see AI as a threat anchoring their case in loss. Those who see it as an opportunity appeal to collective ownership. This distinction may matter for policy design, since compensation framing implies a temporary remedy while shared-knowledge framing implies a permanent entitlement.

Does your outlook shape why you think AI wealth should be shared?

Bars: "Which best explains why people should receive a share of the wealth created by AI?"

Groups: "How likely is it that life for your family will be profoundly better in the next 50 years?"

Overall

1,015

47%

33%

13%

8%

Pessimist

169

37%

43%

14%

7%

Neutral

177

43%

35%

12%

10%

Optimist

669

50%

29%

13%

8%

Built on shared knowledge, so benefits should be shared

Compensation for job losses from automation

Payment for personal data used to train AI

Maintain economic stability amid disruption

Securing humanity's AI future

© 2026 Windfall Trust. All rights reserved.

Securing humanity's AI future

© 2026 Windfall Trust. All rights reserved.